Market Summary
Stock market averages opened higher on hopes for the Eurozone, slipped on disappointing domestic economic news, but then finished mixed Tuesday. The table was set for morning gains on Wall Street after European equity markets moved higher on hopes for an agreement between Greece and its creditors. France led the advance with a gain of 1.3 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened higher and was sporting a modest gain heading into the latest Chicago Purchasing Managers Index, which fell to 60.2 in January. Economists were expecting the gauge of manufacturing activity to increase to 62.8, from 62.2 the month before. Making matters worse, an index of Consumer Confidence fell to only 61.1in January, from 64.8 in December. Economists were expecting an increase to 67.0. The Dow Industrial Average gave up its modest morning gain and was in the red through midday. From there, trading was choppy and range-bound. At the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had trimmed its loss to only 21 points. The tech-heavy NASDAQ added 1.9 points. For the month, the Dow added 3.4 percent and the NAZ gained roughly 8 percent.
Bullish Trends
Bank of America (BAC) added .9 percent to $7.13 and was one of 16 Dow stocks moving higher on day of mixed trading Tuesday. BAC had a good month and is now up 28.2 percent year-to-date. One larger player in the options market seems to be anticipating gains for the bank and bought a hefty block of call options on the stock. In midday trading Tuesday, 62,500 April 8 calls were bought not Bank of America for 28 cents per contract. The block looks like a new position because volume exceeds the open interest. It wasn't a straight bullish strategy alone, however, as it was also tied to 2 million shares (sold short) of BAC. Nevertheless, April 8 calls are 12.2 percent out-of-the-money and today's buyer appears to be anticipating a move beyond that level through mid-April.
Bullish trading was also seen in FMC Consulting (FTI), BP, and Peabody Energy (BTU).
Bearish Trends
While one strategist was building a bullish trade in Bank of America, another initiated a bearish spread on JP Morgan (JPM) Tuesday. Shares also helped the Dow and added .8 percent to $37.30 on the day. In options action, one investor bought 20,000 June 35 puts for $2 per contract and sold 20000 June 27 puts at 54 cents. The Jun 27 – 35 put spread, for a $1.46 debit, appears to be a new position, as volume exceeds open interest in both contracts. If so, it's a bearish play that makes its best profits if shares fall to $27 or more through mid-June, which represents a 27.6 percent tumble from current levels. The stock has performed well lately, up 31.4 percent since 11/23. The spread trader is possibly a shareholder initiating the bearish play to help hedge shares from a possible move lower in the months ahead.
Bearish trading was also seen in Exeo Resources (XCO), Covanta (CVA) and Louisiana Pacific (LPX).










MyRollingStocks Daily Update
Market Summary
Stock market averages finished mixed ahead of Friday's key jobs data. Data released early Thursday was somewhat encouraging after the Labor Department reported that jobless claims decreased by 12,000 to 367,000 last week. Economists were looking for a smaller decline of 4,000 and the good news seemed to hold some sway because it comes ahead of monthly payroll numbers for January. Economists expect tomorrow's data to show 155,000 new jobs were created in January and the unemployment rate stayed unchanged at 8.5 percent. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke was also in focus today after the head of the Central Bank delivered commentary to the House Budget Committee today. Comments about the economy and the ballooning deficit seemed to have little market impact. Instead, trading was narrow and mixed into midday, and the pattern continued in the second half of trading. At the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had traded in a 67-point range and lost 11 points on the session. But the tech-heavy NASDAQ finished up 11.4 points.
Bullish Trends
An interesting spread was initiated in Microsoft (MSFT) today. Shares of the software giant set new 52-week highs today after a 15.4 percent rally so far in 2012. The stock was up 6 cents to $29.95 and has now gained 6.5 percent since earnings were reported on January 19. One large options trade in the options market seems to reflect expectations that the advance can continue over the next few months. In midday options action, one investor bought 10,000 April 30 calls on Microsoft for 90 cents and sold 10,000 April 32 calls at 26 cents. Data from the options exchange indicate that this Apr 30 – 32 call spread, for a 64-cent net debit, is a new position on the stock. If so, it's a bullish play that offers its best payoff if shares rally to $32 or more through the April expiration, which represents a 6.8 percent gain over the next 11 weeks. Separately, another bullish trade in MSFT today was a block of 10,000 Mar 29 calls also bought-to-open for $1.26 on ISE. At the end of the day, 124,000 calls and 61,000 puts traded on Microsoft Thursday, a ratio of more than two-to-one.
Bullish trading was also seen in UPS, Sprint Nextel (S), and Capital One (COF).
Bearish Trends
Estee Lauder (EL) might be a name worth watching tomorrow. The company reports earnings before the opening bell and options volume on the stock rose to 4.5X the daily average ahead of the news. Shares lost a nickel to $58.85 and 11,000 calls/11,000 puts traded in EL today. Much of the activity was due to one three-legged spread trade. In this options strategy, the strategist sold 2,000 March 62.5 calls on the stock at $1.16, bought 2,000 March 57.5 puts for $2.38, and sold 2,000 March 52.5 puts at 84 cents. In other words, March 62.5 calls, which are 6.2 percent out-of-the-money, were sold to help finance a March 57.5 – 52.5 put spread. 38 cents was paid for the package and the spread will offer its best payoff if the stock falls to $52.5 or less through the March expiration, which represents a 10.8 percent drop over the next six weeks. A shareholder might have initiated the trade to hedge some of the risk of owning shares heading into the profit report. EL is sometimes volatile around earnings. For example, it rallied 18 percent on 11/3 after profits were last reported.
Bearish trading was also seen in Amylin Pharmaceuticals (AMLN), Ann Taylor (ANN), and Office Max (OMX).